Headwaters Shootout

How does water move across the West? Which state is the West's true headwaters state?

fly fishing Clear Creek, Colorado
Clear Creek, Colorado

July 2021

With the extreme heat around the West, many anglers might be turning their eyes towards the cooler small stream fishing. In some places around the West, these cool tributaries feed water well beyond their own state's borders. Who gets the bragging right as the true headwater state? Let the shootout begin.

Coloradoans are quick to brag about their "headwater" state status. You'll sometimes hear a Coloradoan say, "It all flows downhill from here." In an attempt to get a real sense of how water moves across the West, we figured we'd put a microscope to that statement. Where does the water really originate? Well, that depends on what question you ask...


How much area is upstream?

The shape of watersheds | Nature Communications
Smaller basins closer to the source have a smaller upstream area (left). Rivers get bigger as they travel further away from the source, and upstream area increases (right). Sassolas-Serrayet, T. et al. 2018

A location with a small upstream area will be the closest to the source of water (left). Alpine creeks flowing out of the glacier only have upstream area traced back to the top of the mountain, while large rivers collect water over a vast area that includes all the feeder streams and creeks that contribute to the large flow.
Though it is true that more major rivers originate out of Colorado than any other state, Colorado's rivers are (on average) further from their headwaters than Wyoming's rivers are from their headwaters, with a smaller cumulative upstream area. Here ranking is scaled to state size.

rank

state

upstream area mi2

state area mi2

upstream area/state area

source: hydrosheds.org

1

Wyoming

2108117

97818

21.55142203


2

Colorado

2855611

104185

27.40904161


3

New Mexico

3868743

121697

31.78996195


4

California

10757964

163696

65.71916235


5

Idaho

5633230

83642

67.3492982


6

Utah

6298098

84899

74.18341794


7

Montana

11381133

147040

77.40161181


8

Nevada

19802793

110567

179.1022005


9

Washington

13754889

71362

192.7480872


10

Arizona

25000114

113998

219.303093


11

Oregon

64297759

98466

652.994526



Which state supplies the most water?

Upstream area doesn't tell the whole story though. Theoretically, a watershed could have a small upstream area with minimal water flowing downstream. So, another factor in figuring out which state holds the title of "the headwaters state" is to consider how much water that state supplies. Scientists took to answering this question in a publication from 2016, estimating the amount of water supply produced for each state annually (measure in millions of acre-feet: MAF). Our ranking is scaled to sq. miles, that way bigger states aren't ranked higher simply because they have more area to collect water.

rank

state

water MAF/year

(MAF/year/mi2)/state area

state AF/year/mi2

source: Brown et al 2016

1

Washington

93.36

0.001308259

1308.259298


2

Oregon

90.85

0.000922654

922.6535048


3

Idaho

43.76

0.000523182

523.1821334


4

California

83.93

0.000512719

512.7186981


5

Montana

38.46

0.000261561

261.5614799


6

Wyoming

19.42

0.000198532

198.5319675


7

Colorado

16.95

0.000162691

162.6913663


8

Utah

7.06

8.32E-05

83.15763437


9

Nevada

8.35

7.55E-05

75.51982056


10

New Mexico

3.7

3.04E-05

30.40337888


11

Arizona

3.4

2.98E-05

29.82508465


Which state has the most streams classified as headwaters?

The Strahler stream order system is used to characterize stream size and identify streams into a hierarchy of tributaries. When two 1st order streams merge they become a 2nd order stream. In order to gain in Strahler number, merging streams must be the same value. In the example (right), the largest stream forms when the two order 3 branches converge. In this system, 1st and 2nd order streams are defined as headwater streams. So let's rank each western state based on the proportion of stream miles that are classified as headwaters.

rank

state

Strahler 1, 2 (mi)

Strahler >2 (mi)

ALL stream (mi)

Headwater/Total Percentage

source: USGS NHD

1

Nevada

103334.1452

20010.92994

123345.0751

83.77646624


2

Arizona

106842.0448

22042.33155

128884.3764

82.89759223


3

Utah

65886.87515

15024.26797

80911.14312

81.43115102


4

New Mexico

82178.6393

19261.37632

101440.0156

81.0120531


5

Idaho

70509.34411

17001.49535

87510.83947

80.57212631


6

Oregon

77947.4085

18926.25416

96873.66266

80.46295181


7

Washington

56341.94551

14222.05564

70564.00115

79.84516835


8

California

130606.7789

33708.15824

164314.9371

79.48563971


9

Colorado

75171.95365

19427.068

94599.02165

79.46377493


10

Wyoming

83585.35676

23171.20545

106756.5622

78.29528699


11

Montana

131599.7664

36847.55817

168447.3246

78.12517457



How big do the rivers get?

If we flip the coin, which states have the largest Strahler stream order, and how many miles of these large streams? The bigger a river grows, the further they are their headwaters.

rank

state

max strahler order in state

max strahler length (miles)

source: USGS NHD

1

Wyoming

7

106756.5622


2

Utah

8

80911.14312


3

Idaho

8

87510.83947


4

Colorado

8

94599.02165


5

New Mexico

8

101440.0156


6

Montana

8

168447.3246


7

Washington

9

70564.00115


8

Oregon

9

96873.66266


9

Nevada

9

123345.0751


10

Arizona

9

128884.3764


11

California

9

164314.9371



Time for the bragging rights...

We crunched all the numbers and crown the true headwaters state of the West to....... IDAHO! Rounding out the top four are Wyoming, Utah, and then Colorado with the tie breaker over New Mexico.

rank

state

summed ranks

1

Idaho

16

2

Wyoming

18

3

Utah

19

4

Colorado

22

5

New Mexico

22

6

Washington

24

7

Oregon

27

8

Nevada

27

9

California

27

10

Montana

29

11

Arizona

33

Time to Fish!

Each state around the West has exciting small stream opportunities, so no matter which state you're from, let's all try to give the highly pressured fish a break from this summer's blistering heat, and head into the mountains.

Sources:

  1. Sassolas-Serrayet, T., Cattin, R. & Ferry, M. 2018. The shape of watersheds. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06210-4
  2. World Wildlife Fund. 2021. Upstream Area. Hydrosheds.org
  3. Brown et al. 2016. Mean Annual Renewable Water Supply of the Contiguous United States. USFS. https://www.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/documents-and-media/really-mean-annual-renewable-water-supply-contiguous-united-states
  4. Fritz and Johnson 2011. Headwater streams-what are they and what do they do? USGS. https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-07/documents/headwater_streams_-_what_are_they_and_what_do_they_do.pdf
  5. USGS. 2021. National Hydrography Dataset. https://www.usgs.gov/core-science-systems/ngp/national-hydrography